According to the latest forecast data released by market research firm Gartner, the total global semiconductor revenue in 2024 will be $626 billion, an increase of 18.1%. Among the top 10 semiconductor manufacturers in the world in 2024, Samsung, Intel and Nvidia rank the top three. At the same time, Gartner expects that, driven by the demand for AI, total global semiconductor revenue will increase by 12.6% year-on-year to reach $705 billion in 2025. While this forecast is lower than Future Horizons' 15 percent forecast, it is higher than the World Semiconductor Trade Organization's 11.2 percent estimate and Semiconductor Intelligence's 6 percent estimate. "Graphics processing units (Gpus) and AI processors used in data center applications (servers and accelerator cards) are key drivers for the chip industry in 2024," said George Brocklehurst, vice president analyst at Gartner. "The growing demand for artificial intelligence and Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) workloads has led to data centers becoming the second largest semiconductor market after smartphones in 2024. Data center semiconductor revenue totaled $112 billion in 2024, up from $64.8 billion in 2023." Looking at specific vendor performance, only eight of the top 25 semiconductor suppliers by revenue in 2024 experienced a decline in semiconductor revenue, while 11 suppliers achieved double-digit percentage growth. Among the top 10 manufacturers, only Infineon's semiconductor revenue declined year-on-year, and the rest achieved year-on-year growth.
HBM has become the growth engine of the head memory manufacturers, and will account for 19.2% of the overall DRAM revenue in 2025, Gartner data also shows that in 2024, global memory chip revenue soared 71.8% year-on-year, making the share of memory chips in total semiconductor sales increased to 25.2%. In contrast, in 2024, semiconductor revenue outside of storage only grew by 6.9% year-over-year, of which DRAM revenue grew by 75.4% in 2024 and NAND revenue grew by 75.7% year-over-year. HBM's revenue growth contributed significantly to the DRAM vendor's revenue. In 2024, HBM's revenue will account for 13.6% of total DRAM revenue. It is expected to further increase to 19.2% by 2025. According to Brocklehurst, "Memory and AI semiconductors will drive near-term growth, with HBM's share of DRAM revenues expected to increase, reaching 19.2% by 2025." HBM's revenue is expected to grow 66.3 percent to $19.8 billion by 2025.